SCHOOLS — POPULATION GROWTH — SCARBOROUGH

1683. Hon Alison Xamon to the Minister for Education and Training:

I refer to the approximately 2,800 additional dwellings anticipated to be constructed in the short-to-medium term as part of the Metropolitan Development Authority’s Redevelopment of the Scarborough Beach area, and I ask:

(a) has the authority included this growth in dwellings and population as part of the forecasting for primary and high schools in the area;

(b)  will the minister please provide the 10 year forecasts and current capacities for:

(i)  Scarborough Primary School;

(ii)  Deanmore Primary School;

(iii)  Newborough Primary School;

(iv)  Yuluma Primary School; and

(v)  Wembley Downs Primary School; and

(c)  will the Minister please provide a breakdown of where the Minister anticipates the students from these new dwellings will attend high school?

Hon Sue Ellery replied:

(a)  The Department of Education revises student enrolment projections for all public schools annually. The student projections are based on the Semester 1, 2018 student enrolments, plus student growth estimated from the residential development within the school’s local-intake area. The Department uses the Department of Planning’s 2016–17 Urban Land Development Outlook, local-government authority dwelling forecasts (where available) and 2016 Australian Bureau of Statistics data to estimate future student growth in these schools. The 2 800 additional dwellings planned to be constructed in the locality of Scarborough are in the catchment areas of Scarborough Primary School and Deanmore Primary School, and this data has been considered in preparing the projection estimates for these schools.

(b)  Projections are generally only provided for three years, as forecasts beyond this period are more volatile due to the uncertainty of changes in student demand in the local-intake areas of these schools and the timing of residential development.

(c) Secondary school students residing in the Metropolitan Redevelopment Authority’s proposed developments in Scarborough will be entitled to attend either Carine Senior High School or Churchlands Senior High School, depending on their residential address.